HOUSE · NEW YORK · D
John W. Mannion
VACANCY RISK
● MODERATE
Born before the Civil Rights Act
AGE NOW
58
TERM END AGE
59
SPECIAL ELECTION
$60M
TERM COMPLETION PROBABILITY0%
IN OFFICE SINCE 20251 YRS
✦ HUMAN DECENCY SCORES
🌿 ENVIRONMENT97/100?
🤝 PEOPLE FIRSTNo voting record
📋 ATTENDANCE99% votes cast?
🤝 BIPARTISANNo voting record
✦ AGE APPROPRIATE ALTERNATIVES
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
U.S. Representative · D · Age 36 → 37 at term end
🌿 ENVIRONMENT98/100?
🤝 PEOPLE FIRST2/3 pro-people votes?
📋 ATTENDANCE97% votes cast?
🤝 BIPARTISAN25% cross-party votes?
TERM COMPLETION PROBABILITY
INCUMBENT
99%
ALTERNATIVE
99%
Ritchie Torres
U.S. Representative · D · Age 38 → 39 at term end
🌿 ENVIRONMENT98/100?
🤝 PEOPLE FIRST3/3 pro-people votes?
📋 ATTENDANCE97% votes cast?
🤝 BIPARTISAN0% cross-party votes?
TERM COMPLETION PROBABILITY
INCUMBENT
99%
ALTERNATIVE
99%
⚡ DECLARED CHALLENGERS — 2026 RACE
Kailee Buller
Republican Challenger · New York
U.S. House · 2026
AGENot yet available
🌿 ENVIRONMENT🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY
🤝 PEOPLE FIRST🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY
📋 ATTENDANCE— Not yet serving
David Hollenbeck
Republican Challenger · New York
U.S. House · 2026
AGENot yet available
🌿 ENVIRONMENT🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY
🤝 PEOPLE FIRST🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY
📋 ATTENDANCE— Not yet serving
John Lemondes
Republican Challenger · New York
U.S. House · 2026
AGENot yet available
🌿 ENVIRONMENT🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY
🤝 PEOPLE FIRST🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY
📋 ATTENDANCE— Not yet serving
John Joseph Mr. Salka
Republican Challenger · New York
U.S. House · 2026
AGENot yet available
🌿 ENVIRONMENT🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY
🤝 PEOPLE FIRST🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY
📋 ATTENDANCE— Not yet serving
William A IV Staton
Independent Challenger · New York
U.S. House · 2026
AGENot yet available
🌿 ENVIRONMENT🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY
🤝 PEOPLE FIRST🔍 RESEARCH OPPTY
📋 ATTENDANCE— Not yet serving